FRIDAY MIDDAY UPDATE: Paramount has everything to be happy about heading into the weekend as their horror movie Smile is coming on strong with $3.85M today for what is now looking at a $13.1M second frame at 3,659 theaters, -42% – spectacular for a horror movie considering they typically drop 60% or more in weekend 2. This will put the 10-day gross of the Parker Finn-directed and -written genre title at $45.4M.
In second place as of right now is Sony’s Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile with $3.3M today and an expected $11M opening at 4,350 theaters. This fight between Lyle, Lyle and Smile boils down to Saturday (doesn’t it always?) and how many moms and kids come out for this feature take of the 1965 Bernard Waber book. Again, this type of family film has a cap age-wise — likely below 9 years of age in regards to those who want to see it, plus, while a classic title, it’s not as marquee as say Sony’s Peter Rabbit which opened to $25M back in 2018, or Weinstein Co’s Paddington which saw a near $19M start in 2015. Audience score on Rotten Tomatoes at 82% is higher than Peter Rabbit‘s (56%) and Paddington (80%).
And Amsterdam is going up in smoke. Friday’s estimated $2.5M includes last night’s previews putting the David O. Russell directed period comedy between $6.6M-$7.3M at 3,005 locations. No amount of star power in this movie including Christian Bale, Margot Robbie, John David Washington, Chris Rock, Anya Taylor Joy, Rami Malek, Taylor Swift, etc. could save it. More deconstruction of this period 2-hour-and-15 minute arthouse comedy later. While it’s been customary for adult skewing movies to not necessarily breakeven as moviegoers have come back from the pandemic, this is a huge bomb for New Regency/20th Century Studios; even by pre-pandemic standards an $80M production cost on a movie of this type is uncalled for. Too much for absurdist comedy. Rotten Tomatoes audience score at 67% is currently higher than critics’ 34%, but even that isn’t good.
Weekend 4 of TriStar’s The Woman King at 3,342 theaters is seeing $1.3M today, -27%, and a 3-day of $5M, -26%, for a running total of $53.8M.
New Line’s third sesh of Don’t Worry Darling booked at 3,324 locations is eyeing a $1M Friday, -57% from a week ago, and 3-day of $3.35M, -51% for a running total of $38.3M.
FRIDAY AM UPDATE: Not exactly the flashiest of Thursday nights for previews as Sony’s feature take of the classic children’s book Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile saw $575K off showtimes that began at 3 p.m. in 3,453 locations, while New Regency/20th Century Studios/Disney’s Amsterdam baked $550K off previews that began at 6 p.m. in 3,005 locations.
Here’s the thing: Sometimes studios with family movies don’t even hold previews outside of summer. There were only 15% of K-12 schools out Thursday. Sony didn’t hold previews for the first Peter Rabbit, which debuted in February 2018, but held them for Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway, which did $900K on June 10 last year at 2,572 theaters. Lyle, Lyle‘s numbers are above that of another live-action/CGI hybrid based on a classic kids book, Paddington 2, which did $325K back in January 2018. Lyle, Lyle also is higher than the $175K cashed in from 8 p.m. showtimes of the first Paddington in January 2015.
It all comes down to Saturday matinee business, and Sony is betting low on Lyle, Lyle at $11M-$12M, while industry estimates are much higher between $15M-$18M. Sony put the movie here because it’s the Indigenous Peoples’ Day holiday weekend, and 42% of all K-12 schools are off Monday per ComScore. Lyle, Lyle is 67% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes.
Disney was hoping that David O. Russell’s absurdist period comedy would do around $10M. It might be in the high single digits if business doesn’t pick up — and the movie has all the Imax screens. The pic’s previews are ahead of the R-rated Bob Odenkirk action movie Nobody, which did $410K on its Thursday in March 2021 before filing a $6.8M opening, and they’re below Michael Bay’s Ambulance, which saw $700K in its preview night before a $8.6M opening in April. Amsterdam is suffering from bad reviews at 35% on Rotten Tomatoes. Ouch, this is an $80M movie, twice as much as Russell’s American Hustle, which boasted the star power of Jennifer Lawrence, Bradley Cooper, Christian Bale, Amy Adams and Jeremy Renner.
Taylor Swift, who also stars in Amsterdam, is doing her part to get the Swifties out to see the film:
Paramount’s Smile had a rich week with weekday grosses averaging $2M+ at 3,645 theaters. Thursday was $2.1M, off 13% from Wednesday bringing the horror movie’s first week total to $32.29M, 21% off from the first week of Bullet Train, which did $41M in its first seven days. Yeah, odd comp, but it just goes to show you the power of Smile — the fact that it’s $8.7M off from a Brad Pitt action movie. Smile is expected to do around $11M in weekend 2.
New Line’s Don’t Worry Darling finished second on Thursday with $555K at 4,121 theaters, -13% from Wednesday, for a second week of $9.5M and running total of $34.97M.
TriStar’s The Woman King at 3,504 theaters did $506K, -17%, for a $9.1M third week and running total of $48.8M.
Popping into fourth place with a full-on opening Thursday at 886 sites was Damien Leone’s Terrifier 2, which did $403,9K. Logline for the Leone-penned movie: After being resurrected by a sinister entity, Art the Clown returns to the timid town of Miles County, where he targets a teenage girl and her younger brother on Halloween night. The sequel is being handled by Iconic Events Releasing.
Universal’s Billy Eichner comedy Bros did $380K at 3,350 theaters for 5th Thursday, and a $6.74M first week at 3,350 theaters.